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巴克莱银行称黄金市场年末将有大跌风险

关键字:巴克莱银行、黄金市场、黄金大跌

巴克莱银行发表评论称,黄金市场面临下行风险,预计此轮下跌将发生在今年年末的时候。

该行称,金价将在2013年第三季度末小幅走高,但是在四季度将再度面临下行风险,预计四季度黄金均价在1294美元/盎司,比该行全年预期低31美元/盎司。

巴克莱表示,根据预期,美联储有可能在9月退出QE,这将进一步打压黄金价格于今年12月跌至1229美元/盎司。但是如果美联储缩减宽松政策计划延迟到12月,那么黄金价格就有可能在即将来到的10月上涨至1482美元/盎司。

该行同时警告称,印度的季节性需求大约将在秋季的节日之前开始,其中包括排灯节。但根据印度近期上调进口关税和监管改变等动作,预计印度的实物金对黄金价格的支撑比较有限。

 

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