世界黄金协会:实物金价已处于安全区域
关键字:世界黄金协会
世界黄金协会远东区董事总经理郑良豪在近期接受中国财经媒体访问时谈到黄金的成本价,实际上此前市场也在多次讨论这个问题,众说纷纭,但在讨论这个问题时一定要加通胀因素,人工上涨因素。还有就是黄金市场的销售状况,只有多方面考量,才能最接近于准确答案。而世界黄金协会远东区董事总经理郑良豪对目前的黄金走势呈乐观态度,以下为他的观点:
美元波动对金价影响并不是最主要的,特殊事件才会对金融市场带来较大影响。更严重一些的要属“黑天鹅事件”。例如,若日本国债无人问津,推高其国债收益率,金价必定会随即作出反应。但这些事件无法未卜先知,只能靠预期。如果不是投机心态,就要关注长期趋势。买入就需要关注长期趋势。
金价从1900多美元/盎司一路下跌到目前低位,眼前购金者要盘算的是金价还有多少走低空间,会有什么因素导致其继续走低?还有多少投机基金尚未清仓?矿山的开采成本是多少?要知道,矿山开采成本从800美元/盎司到1600美元/盎司不等,平均价为1100美元/盎司左右。而金价只有在极少数极端情况下才可能跌破成本价。如果投资者持保值心态,可以说目前金价已经处于安全区域。目前黄金基础支持稳固,即投资需求、黄金首饰需求稳固。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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