强势美元主导市场，黄金白银创下两年新低
摘要：周四伦金收于1285.02，跌幅4.92%，伦银收于19.69，跌幅7.94%。现货白银收3897，跌幅8.00%。
6月21日讯——周四伦金收于1285.02，跌幅4.92%，伦银收于19.69，跌幅7.94%。现货白银收3897，跌幅8.00%。
基本面
周四伯南克对于QE言论影响搅动整个金融市场，全球股市大幅跳水，美元大幅反弹，商品价格迅速下跌。黄金跌破1300美元/盎司，白银跌破20美元/盎司，双双创下近两年来新低。
伯南克在美联储货币政策会议新闻发布会上称将于今年晚些时候削减QE规模，并于2014年中结束QE，并且暗示退出QE的门槛是失业率降至7%。这是美联储在实施QE3后首次表示将会逐渐削减QE，伯南克对于QE的态度引发了美联储将会逐渐收紧货币政策的预期。此前美联储先后推出三轮量化宽松货币政策刺激全球商品价格大幅上涨。其中黄金白银受益于美联储宽松货币政策大幅上涨，美联储的货币政策也成为决定黄金白银走势的关键。现在美联储货币政策将会逐渐从宽松调整，黄金白银有望逐渐回归至正常商品属性，而黄金白银在去金融属性的过程中可能会继续大幅下跌，黄金白银熊市几乎已成定局。
三、周五缺乏重要经济数据，投资者可适当关注加拿大5月消费者物价指数。市场预期加5月CPI月率上升0.9%，年率上升1.1%，符合或高於预期的数据显示物价水平有所回升，加央行加息意愿可能增强，或为加元提供短暂支持。值得警惕的是，鉴於非美和股市在过去两个交易日大幅下挫，周末前可能出现空头结利，或推动风险资产小幅反弹，但既便如此也无法改变美元强势和非美疲软的格局。
ETF持仓
截止到6月21日07时，白银ETF持仓量为9983.92吨，与昨天相比减持15.01吨。
技术面
从技术面看MACD位于0轴以下，红色动能柱体变率，macd指标已死叉向下，kd指标继续死叉向下，5日和10日均线也是死叉向下空头排列，表明白银处于空头市场且中期空头趋势明显，投资者保持空头思路，不要有猜底的冲动。
现货白银跌破4226，关键支撑跌破后打开进一步下行空间。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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