美元连涨四日，6月非农报告将披露
周四(7月1日)美元指数触及92.60，为4月初以来最高；美元尾盘上涨0.2%，报92.53；周四稍早扩大涨幅，此前数据显示美国上周初请失业金人数降幅大于预期，6月裁员人数降至21年低点。但在报告显示美国6月制造业活动增长放缓，而就业分项指数显示七个月来首次萎缩，可能是由于原材料和劳动力严重短缺后，美元小幅缩减涨幅。
避险需求上升美元反弹
丰业银行最新报告则认为，过去两个交易日美指反弹主要是因为疫情再度蔓延，市场避险需求上升，而非对美联储缩减政策的担忧升级；美元指数6月创下2016年11月以来最大月线涨幅，受到美联储意外在月中向鹰派倾斜，当时决策官员暗示2023年底前将两度加息，交易商关注将于周五出炉的美国非农就业报告，以确认这一前景，大田环球分析师预计，美国6月非农就业岗位增加70万个，失业率为5.7%，5月分别为55.9万个和5.8%
欧元兑美元前景仍偏空
星展银行表示，欧元兑美元空头仍然占主导地位，趋势线支撑位1.1765是首要关注点，市场现在必须关注欧洲央行和美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的7月政策会议，作为缩减购债的暗示，总的来说，美联储的相对强硬态度应该会影响到欧洲央行，并在8月26-28日杰克逊霍尔研讨会之前进一步压低欧元；技术面来看，趋势线支撑位1.1765是关注的第一个支撑位，1.1883-1.1493是重要的支撑区，在技术指标被拉伸之前，有测试该区间的可能，此后将向下测试100月移动均线指标1.1782和趋势支撑位1.1765，不排除深跌至1.1692和1.1619的可能。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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