金价高价跳水,背后原因是美债收益率升高!
金价周一(4月19日)从逾七周高位回落,因美国国债收益率上扬,打压非收益黄金的吸引力,并抵消美元走软的支撑。
现货黄金收报1771.43美元/盎司,下跌5.08美元或0.29%,盘中触及2月25日以来的最高水平1790.14美元/盎司,最低触及1766.65美元/盎司。上周,现货黄金32.63美元或1.87%。
6月黄金期货收跌0.5%,报1770.60美元/盎司。
最活跃黄金期货合约北京时间4月19日21:18一分钟内买卖盘面瞬间成交2584手,交易合约总价值4.57亿美元。
“我们仍可能看到美国利率逐渐上升,收益率曲线逐渐变陡,这应会令黄金失去一些动能。”
基准10年期国债收益率在上周触及数周低点后升至1.6%以上。
金价今年迄今已下跌逾6%,主要受美国国债收益率飙升的影响。但美元走软限制了金价的跌势,美元兑主要竞对货币的汇率跌至逾六周低点。
“现货市场也提供了良好支撑,在金价跌破1700美元/盎司时起到了缓冲作用。”
“印度和中国的需求已从低位反弹,各国央行在2月份转向净买入。”
据五位知情人士透露,作为全球最大的黄金消费国,中国已允许国内外银行大量进口黄金。
基本面利多因素
1.美元指数周一收跌,报91.09,跌幅0.49%,盘中一度触及六周以来的最低水平91.04,最高触及91.75。美元下跌令以美元计价的黄金受到支撑。
2.五位知情人士表示,全球最大的黄金消费国中国已允许国内外银行大量进口黄金。四名消息人士称,中国政府批准后,约有150吨黄金(按目前价格计算,价值85亿美元)将运往中国。此外,一位印度政府消息人士表示,印度对黄金的需求也已从大流行引发的暴跌中反弹,3月进口量达到创纪录的160吨。实物需求的增加可能会提振金价。
基本面利空因素
1.周一,基准10年期美国国债收益率上涨4个基点至1.561%。美国国债收益率上涨令黄金承压。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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