拜登被曝还要放水3万亿美元，黄金空头又要卷土重来？
关键词：黄金空头又要卷土重来？
周一(3月29日)欧洲交易时段，市场情绪略有好转，欧洲股市在很大程度上撇开了亚股尾盘的不安情绪。眼下，对冲基金、大宗交易、欧洲新冠病例增加以及苏伊士运河疏通等消息充斥市场，但对疫苗接种以及美国3万亿美元基建计划的乐观情绪仍支撑市场风险人气，美元基本持稳，现货黄金持续走低失守1730美元。
周一欧市盘中，现货黄金维持跌势，目前交投在1730美元下方，上周录得三周来首个周线跌幅。
从技术面来看，黄金似乎没有发生太大变化，在大举押注方向之前，双向价格走势暗示需保持一定的谨慎。话虽如此，但黄金一再未能在更高水平上站稳脚跟，支撑了近期进一步下跌的前景。不过，若要确认看空偏向，则需要持续突破近两周的交易区间支撑位，即1720美元附近。
越来越明显的是，强势美元是金价下跌背后的罪魁祸首。美国疫苗方面取得令人鼓舞的进展，激发了人们对美国经济更快复苏的希望，从而提振了人们对美元的兴趣。如果美元在未来一周延续涨势，这可能会拖累金价走低。如果欧洲的新冠肺炎相关担忧加剧了风险规避，金价仍可能反弹。
现阶段来看，技术面有利于空头，周收盘价若低于1730美元，从而加快向1700美元和周期低点的下跌。
基本面来看，分析指出，在经济前景改善的支撑下，美元和全球股市走坚，债券收益率居于高位也令金价进一步承压。
美元本周伊始走坚，因美国经济强劲，且疫苗接种进度远远快于欧洲，吸引投资者买入美元。
欧洲的Covid-19危机本周可能会进一步分化，法国和德国的公共卫生状况恶化，不过英国周一采取了进一步措施放松封锁。
“焦点基本仍将在欧洲疫情方面，以及抗疫封锁是否可以减缓病例数增长，还有疫苗接种是否最终能提速等，”ING经济学家在每日报告中称。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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