现货黄金抬头艰难,白宫一直“不作为”
关键词:现货黄金抬头艰难
10月8日,现货黄金涨势受到明显限制,虽然美联储暗示有更多宽松措施,但白宫官员淡化了出台更多救助计划的可能,美元指数有所回升,而且美国总统大选的结果更加扑朔迷离,市场充满了不确定性。
美元指数收复日内稍早录得的逾0.1%跌幅。白宫高级官员淡化了出台更多新冠疫情救助计划的可能性,尽管总统支持一些碎片化的零星刺激措施。
美联储9月会议纪要暗示将有更多宽松举措,这也进一步支撑了隔夜市场信心。许多与会官员原本预期经济将受到财政支出的支持,一些官员对进一步讨论美联储购债计划持开放态度。
美联储周三发布了一名高级工作人员的研究报告,称如果美联储再增持3.5万亿美元公债,可能会加快经济从衰退中反弹的速度。这比美联储迄今为止为缓解疫情影响所购买的债券规模还要大,而且是主席鲍威尔在9月政策会议结束后的记者会上和随后讲话中都未曾提及的。
白宫经济顾问库德洛在接受采访时称,总统支持零星的财政救济措施,以振兴遭受重创的航空公司和小型企业。但他认为,无法实现基础广泛的一揽子计划。
美国总统特朗普周初在叫停与民主党就新冠救助方案的谈判后发出一连串推特,暗示他对出台小规模支出举措持开放态度,这抑制了美元指数的反弹。
美国副总统候选人辩论于北京时间周四9:00举行,针对特朗普政府的抗疫表现、经济政策、执法及种族关系,现任副总统彭斯与民主党挑战者哈里斯在辩论会上交锋激辩。没有任何一方在这场辩论明显胜出,市场波澜不惊。
上周特朗普与拜登的首场辩论结束之后,多数选民认为那场辩论很让人倒胃口。特朗普本周又叫停了就新疫情救济案进行的谈判,浇灭了自己在大选前赢得一场立法胜利的希望,并推升美元指数大幅反弹。
就目前的形势看,若拜登能够入主白宫,并且民主党同时控制参、众两院,那么美国通过新的刺激措施将不会有任何政策阻碍,美元将会进一步走低,并帮助黄金开启新一轮涨势。否则,任何一个变量出现不同结果,就会带来许多不确定性。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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