美联储维持利率，金价冲高回落
关键词：美联储维持利率
在美联储公布的最新的9月利率决议中，美联储当前当前利率，符合市场预期，同时美联储维持抄底利率不变将持续到2023年，而且美联储允许通胀温和以及超调，刺激非美货币上涨。但本次决议并没有超出鸽派预期，金价收回涨幅。
美联储在政策声明中指出，将以当前的步伐继续购债。维持利率不变直到实现就业最大化。美联储指出，维持利率不变直到通胀处于2%。允许通胀温和超调。
有分析师认为，美联储声明内容偏鸽派，声明中的显著变化是委员会力求在一段时间内让通胀适度超过2%。不过问题在于适度的幅度是多少，一段时间有多长。美联储主席鲍威尔在随后的发布会上可能会对此含糊其辞。不过尽管如此，相较于完全不调整措施，这份声明依然代表鸽派偏向。
分析指出，此外，经济季度预测报告也显示，对未来通胀及失业状况的预期已经比起6月份来显著趋于乐观；在此状况下，市场情绪陷于纠结，汇市继续维持多空拉锯状态，黄金价格也未能录得预期中的突破式行情。投资者正开始等待此后美联储主席鲍威尔的记者会讲话来提供更多信息。
媒体进行的美联储调查显示，受访者预计美联储将维持当前利率水平直到2023年。该结果可能表明，美联储允许通胀在一段不确定时间内超过其2%的目标的新战略已经对利率前景产生了直接影响。
调查还显示，经济学家们提高了美国经济的前景预期。略超过一半的受访者认为当前的衰退已经在5月份结束，47%认为衰退尚未结束的受访者预计会在4月份结束。
总体而言，有69%的受访者表示经济复苏的速度超过了他们最初的预期。但有53%的受访者认为，秋季和冬季有可能会出现第二波疫情，与7月份的调查相比仅下降了5个百分点。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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