市场预计美联储维持当前政策，英国经济复苏进行时
关键词：英国经济复苏进行时
6月10日，欧元兑美元刷新至近几个月以来的高位，同时英国放松社会管控提振了英镑，市场预计美联储在6月决策会议里将继续保持宽松，但英国执政党坚决反对调整英国脱欧的强硬立场，可能会限制英镑。
预计美联储将继续实施宽松措施支持经济，考虑到美国目前的通胀和失业率，尽管就业数据好于预期，但情况仍很糟糕，距离美联储设定的目标还有很长的路要走，因此他们别无选择，只能继续踩油门，在这种情况下，美联储6月利率决议可能继续实施宽松措施，将提振冒险情绪。
美联储将维持超宽松政策，资本料继续在金市寻求庇护。在可预见的未来，美联储将维持其超宽松政策，甚至可能利用更多工具(如收益率曲线控制)来支撑收益率。在这种背景下，实际利率最终将进一步受到抑制。
此外近期英国执政党重申坚决反对调整英国脱欧期限的强硬立场，同时要求争取反对派服软。英国《每日快报》援引Penny Mordaunt的话称，在达成最后一刻并无退路，这一协议将使得企业积极为局势变化做好准备。
英镑兑美元趋势已经出现重大转机，接下来阻力位是1.2817，为去年12月以来跌幅的78.6%斐波那契回撤位，此后为2019年12月以来的潜在下跌趋势线1.2855，预计初次测试时应能受制于该区域。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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