黄金受到重创，美联储年内继续降息
关键词：黄金受到重创
2月28日，现货黄金创下新低，因为对冲交易者抛售盈利的黄金仓位，补充股市投资的保证金，同时全球公共卫生安全事件形势严峻，金价跌势并不会持续太久，美元指数持续下跌，市场预计，美联储未来将降息三次，推动资金转向日元避险。
新冠病毒在世界范围内迅速蔓延，促使各国政府采取行动，投资者陷入恐慌。围绕病毒本身还有很多未知，世界卫生组织(WHO)周四称，每个国家都应当为应对全球公共卫生事件扩散做准备。
国际货币基金组织(IMF)发言人周四表示，迅速蔓延的全球公共卫生事件将对经济增长造成影响，IMF可能因此下调其增长预估。
美国银行周四调降全球经济成长预估，至2009年全球金融危机高峰期以来的最低水平，因担忧新冠病毒疫情造成的冲击。
他们还指出，全球供应链可能会受损。旅游业疲弱将是亚洲面临的另一个不利因素。很多国家可能会出现与意大利类似的规模有限的疫情，这会导致更多的隔离并打击信心。
对全球公共卫生形势的担忧加剧，拖累全球金融市场陷入混乱。本周最重大的变化就是美元涨势止步，因市场大幅重估美联储降息的可能性。
如果这种新型冠状病毒继续蔓延，情况可能会变得更糟，部分原因是全球需求下降导致的油价下跌，可能会造成美国商品和服务价格下降。
分析师说：“我们不需要等待经济数据出炉来判断经济受到的冲击有多严重。从航空公司和酒店销售减半就已经可见一斑。可以说，病毒的影响显然将远大于贸易纷争。因此美联储下月没有理由采取观望态度。”
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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