金价于关口震荡，等待美联储决议
关键词：金价于关口震荡
1月29日，现货黄金维持在1570关口附近震荡，而公共卫生安全事件给金价带来的支撑情绪有所减弱，目前市场等待美联储决议带来的指引，而世界黄金协会认为今年黄金投资将进一步升温。
美联储将于北京时间周四(1月30日)凌晨3点公布利率决议。分析师和投资者普遍预计，美联储将维持现行政策不变。
如果美联储本周发出信号，暗示还没有十分担心病毒对经济增长造成的风险，投资者就应押注美元将延续近期涨势。该行分析师称，美联储关于病毒影响经济的讯息，可能对交易者评估未来数月政策路径至关重要。
分析师称，对投资者和政策制定者而言，消化潜在经济影响为时尚早。如果美联储决定显示官员们当前还不感到担忧，就很可能降低人们对降息近在眼前的预期，从而提振美元。如果美联储看起来“偏鹰派”，投资者应看多美元。
世界黄金协会还指出，在不确定性增加和银行利率下降的情况下，黄金价格在2019年6月至2019年9月之间进一步上涨。
世界黄金协会认为，尽管短期内金价波动和经济增长预期较弱可能导致消费者需求趋于平稳，但从长远来看，印度和中国的结构性经济改革将促使需求持续增长。
此外，美国国会预算办公室还预计美国2020年经济增速为2.2%，2021年为1.8%，而未来十年美国经济增速平均为1.7%。在经历了“通胀和利率都处于低位的”十年后，该机构预计美国通胀和利率都将走高。
在本周初亚洲的公共卫生安全事件给全球股市带来压力，美股也大幅度下挫，本周中美股跌势放缓，股市开始回升，投资者的焦点从亚洲的卫生事件转向公司财报。公司财报的表现将对市场风险偏好情绪带来指引。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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