金价受到压制,美元指数录得新高
关键词:金价受到压制
1月28日,现货黄金出现回落,美元指数创先近两个月的新高,但公共卫生安全事件对全球经济的影响仍在,市场情绪依旧敏感,市场比较关注美联储的2020首次政策会议,尤其关心何时减少并最终停止购债。
全球股市和风险资产价格在最近几个交易日中均下跌,原因是投资者担心突发公共卫生事件可能会对本已疲弱的全球经济造成进一步损害。当前正值农历传统新春佳节,通常是一年中最繁忙的出行季,但许多人已经取消了出行计划。
市场预计,美联储决策层将重申,美联储有意愿至少在2020年年底之前维持利率不变。并且会强调正在观察突发公共卫生事件和其他宏观面不确定性。
市场最关注的问题是,美联储何时放慢脚步、并最终停止购买国债。此前短期借贷市场出现资金短缺,导致隔夜利率飙升。
分析师表示,他将仔细聆听美联储如何描述当前的通胀形势及未来通胀预期,因为美联储官员此前表示,有意让通胀水平运行在高于2%的目标水平上方,尽管目前还未达标。他也寻求,美联储能够就购债计划给出更多细节。
美联储还有望提升超额准备金率5个基点。使用该技术性工具能变相提升联邦基金利率。目前联邦基金利率处于基准区间的下沿附近。
分析师指出:“从历史上看,当联邦基金利率一直处于靠近上、下边沿附近5个基点波动时,美联储就会作出调整。但市场和公众似乎已经了解到,这些技术性调整并不代表着货币政策立场的改变。”
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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