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市场密切关注贸易局势变化,交易态度保持谨慎

关键词:贸易局势变化

现货黄金维持震荡形态,在特朗普发表关于贸易局势的乐观言论后,打击了金价,但市场仍在密切关注贸易争端的最新变化,同时英国保守党在大选中获得压倒性胜利,提振风险偏好,而特朗普弹劾案和美国企业债务问题则是市场的潜在风险。

周五12月13日保守党在英国大选中获得决定性胜利,为结束英国脱欧僵局铺平道路。市场风险偏好情绪大幅度回升,而避险金价受到压力。

英国大选最终计票结果揭晓,首相鲍里斯·约翰逊领导的保守党赢得绝对多数的360多个席位,成为议会第一大党,赢得此次大选。鲍里斯也将继续担任首相。

美国方面公布了市场重点关注的11月零售销售数据,结果该数据表现不及预期。但疲弱的数据并未给金价带来太多支撑,主要因为投资者关注的焦点都集中在贸易局势。

美国感恩节至新年之间传统购物季的商店销售额占全年销售额的三分之一,利润可达全年利润的40%。而各大零售商门店今年普遍存在“门可罗雀”的情况,线下销售额同比下滑6.2%;线上销售额虽然同比大涨19.6%,但销售额整体并未达到此前外界预期。

据报道,司法委员会于11日傍晚开始审议针对总统特朗普的弹劾条款,在会上,两党人士进行了漫长而激烈的讨论。最终,由于民主党人不愿意在夜晚进行投票,以防之后被政治利用而推迟投票。

美国企业债务自1991年以来首次超过家庭负债,在公司投资疲软之际构成潜在的经济预警信号。如果美国企业负债继续攀升,那么可能会影响美国经济未来前景埋下重大隐患。

企业债务激增同时,商业投资则连续两个季度下降。昔日商业投资往往随借款一道上升,而现在公司越来越多地利用借款回馈投资者。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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