数据向好，金价反弹有限，但美联储面临重大抉择
关键词：美联储面临抉择
11月28日，虽然因为国际贸易局势进程复杂化，让国际金价有所走强，但美国经济数据表现良好，美元指数也不断回升，提振市场情绪，金价的反弹有限。但减税措施效果减弱，美国经济必须面临贸易冲突，让美联储开始担忧。
在中国商务部周四举行的例行新闻发布会上，有记者提及“第一阶段协议”、“关税”、“农产品采购”等事宜，但发言人高峰并未提供新的资讯。
但美元跌势受限，因上日公布的多项美国经济数据表现积极，提振市场人气。美国第三季度经济增长数据上修，而不是像初值数据显示的那样放缓。
数据的上升似乎证实了美联储主席鲍威尔本周稍早奠定的乐观论调。他周一表示，“在长期扩张的过程中，我认为现在玻璃杯已经比半满要多了不少。”
美国消费者支出在第三季增长2.9%之后，增速有所放缓。但强劲的劳动力市场应该会继续支撑目前似乎有放缓迹象的消费支出。美联储中表示，多数地区报告消费者支出稳定至适度增长。
但制造业情况较为复杂，一些地区的就业岗位有所增加，而另一些地区的就业情况保持稳定。一个地区报告裁员。
美联储今年已三次降息，以保护经济免受贸易争端、全球增长放缓和企业投资下滑的影响。但经济学家并不认为今年的增长能达到特朗普政府设定的3.0%目标。今年上半年GDP环比年率为增长2.6%。
美联储较为关注的通胀指标，即扣除食品和能源的核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数同比涨幅一直低于美联储设定的2%目标。
总体而言，美国经济不得不逾越特朗普总统发起的贸易冲突这条减速带，以及共和党去年减税举措刺激效果减弱带来的影响。而物价上行乏力始终是美联储的心腹大患，也避险买盘赖以仰仗的靠山。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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