美元黄金齐齐下跌
关键词:黄金下跌
2月21日,美元指数持续下跌,同时美国的经济数据也纷纷不及预期,现货黄金走低,原因是美联储公布利率决议。而在技术面或者是基本面,黄金市场都有了下跌的原因,众多商品货币也纷纷下跌。
现货黄金走低,隔夜美联储公布利率决议,黄金市场下探至1332美元/盎司左右水平。无论是技术面还是基本面,黄金都有下落的原因。目前技术面出现了一些抛售的压力。技术分析师Wang Tao表示,黄金价格可能重返1321至1331美元/盎司的区域,之后可能在1351的阻力水平触顶。另外市场还将继续关注贸易谈判。
美联储立场合适,零售销售有波动,出现多重信号。与我们所处的全球环境相比,美国利率很高,菲利普斯曲线论开始占上风,最大的问题是我们已经加息不少。美联储可重新锚定2%的通胀预期,储备需求高于预期,认为当前利率环境趋紧,正确的储备水平意味着资产负债表扩大,美联储今年可能会无法达到2%的通胀目标。希望看到通胀数据改善,美联储决定不考量政治因素。
商务部新闻发言人高峰今天下午在例行发布会上透露,目前中美双方工作层已于19日开始工作,高级别磋商将于21-22日在华盛顿举行。双方将在上一次高级别磋商基础上,就有关经贸问题进一步深入沟通。双方经贸团队如此密集磋商,目的是按照两国元首共识努力达成一致。至于磋商具体进展程度,要等到磋商结束后进一步发布。
美国12月耐用品订单不及预期,美元指数短线走低,徘徊日内低位附近;具体数据显示,美国12月耐用品订单增加1.2%,不及市场预期的1.8%,前值为1.0%;尽管增幅不及预期,但该数据仍录得连续两个月上升。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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