零售数据报喜，美元创下新高
关键词：美国零售数据
12月14日，美国零售数据月率好于预期，核心零售数据符合市场预期，美元指数短时内走高，同时刷新了2017年6月以来的最高点。而受到美元波动的影响，现货黄金短时内出现下跌，并且刷新七个交易日的新低。
具体数据显示，美国11月零售销售月率公布值为0.2%，好于市场此前预期的0.1%；而美国11月核心零售销售月率显示为0.2%，与预期相吻合。
美国11月消费者支出似乎动能增强，因家庭购买家具、电子产品和一系列其他商品，这可能进一步缓解对经济大幅放缓的担忧。占美国经济三分之二以上的消费者支出在三季度按年率计算增长3.6%。华尔街股市大跌，美国公债收益率曲线部分反转，引发了对经济衰退的担忧。
但周四，在政府数据显示上周美国申请失业救济人数降至近49年低点后，对经济健康状况的担忧有所缓解。美国司机股GDP增速预估约为2.4%。
欧盘交易时段，围绕美元的买盘基调持续升温，主要是因为法国、欧元区和德国制造业PMI数据疲弱，反应出欧洲央行对经济前景的担忧，欧元疲软是促使美元走强的重要因素。此外日本央行日内收紧购债规模导致日股领跌，从而带动亚欧股市全线下行，风险厌恶情绪也进一步支持了美元的避险需求，并继续支持美元指数盘中强劲上扬。
与此同时，在美联储2019年加息路径存在不确定性的背景下，美国国债收益率持续下滑，可能有助于抑制美元后续上涨势头。
美元需求温和回升，对美元计价的大宗商品构成新的下行压力的关键因素之一。金价格延续了本周从5个月高点的回档位下滑的趋势，抹去了上周部分涨势。而全球新一轮避险交易浪潮未能提振黄金的避险需求。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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