贸易战升级油价担忧
美国时段，油价快速下杀，回吐稍早时段涨幅，且跌势不断加重。美油跌幅超2.8%。油价跳水，一方面由于中美贸易战可能升级，引发全球经济增速放缓担忧，拖累油价下行。另一方面，俄罗斯原油产量上升，亦拖累油价。
周一(4月2日)美国时段，油价快速下杀，不但回吐稍早时段涨幅，且跌势不断加重。美油跌幅超2.8%，布油跌幅超2.1%。油价快速下跌，一方面由于中美贸易战可能升级，引发全球经济增速放缓担忧，拖累油价下行。另一方面，俄罗斯原油产量上升，亦对油价造成不利影响。
上周，美国石油钻井数录得减少7口，为过去三周以来首度下降，这被认为是美国原油产量下降的利好迹象。但周一，中国宣布提高对128项美国进口产品的关税，加剧了市场对两大经济体贸易摩擦恐将升级的担忧，并抵消了石油钻井数减少构成的利好。
析师认为，油价一度从美国石油钻探数量下降中得到提振。但中国和美国之间的贸易摩擦增加，可能会动摇全球市场，并损害原油市场的看涨情绪。
此外，由于许多国家仍处于假期，市场流动性低于平常水平，也可能是油价下跌过程中缺乏支撑的一大原因。同时，俄罗斯原油产量上升也不容小视。俄罗斯能源部的数据显示，俄罗斯3月份的石油产量从2月份的1095万桶增加到1097万桶。
不过，油价后市仍不乏看涨因素。据一些分析人士认为，油价将进一步上涨，主要由于美国政府可能会重新实施对伊朗的制裁。
分析师表示，在4月份，关于伊朗问题的不确定性将对油价构成支撑。
此前，美国总统特朗普曾宣称要退出2015年与伊朗达成的核协议，并已经要求欧洲签署国在5月12日的最后期限内修正该协议的“严重缺陷”。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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