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美联储鹰派强劲,黄金多头遭打击

2月22日,现货黄金价格连续第五个交易日下跌,因最新的美联储会议纪要显示,决策者支持进一步升息,这帮助提振了美元,延续近一周的反弹走势。美联储1月会议纪要显示,决策者对有必要继续升息信心增强。

美元指数盘中刷新2月12日以来高点至90.235。美联储1月政策会议纪要显示,决策者在该次会议上对有必要继续升息的信心增强。

分析师表示,会议纪要也给通胀信号指明了方向。部分美联储委员认为,通胀的适用风险会滞后于目标。几乎所有的美联储官员都预期通胀率会上升到2%的目标。

分析师表示:“高利率环境将是带动金价下跌的主要因素,既然黄金是零孳息的资产,那么高利率环境可能刺激风险偏好与追逐收益率的行为。”预估,年底金价料为1100美元。

分析师则认为,虽然美联储决策者对于实现通胀目标越来越乐观,美联储会议纪要的鹰派基调还不够强到足以改变此前看跌美元的观点。

分析师预计,通胀是会议纪要的主要焦点,没有很多新内容。预计未来几个月通胀将进一步接近2%,下半年放缓,因为公寓租金下降影响CPI的住房部分。2018年可能会有三次加息,但如果CPI的住房部分保持坚挺,美联储将敞开加息四次的大门。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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