澳洲联储：低利率拉动经济
澳洲联储10月3日宣布维持隔夜拆款利率于1.50%不变，符合市场的普遍预期。但在决议的声明中，该联储表示出了对澳元升值的担忧情绪。此外，他们还非常关注本国的楼市状况。
澳洲联储周二(10月3日)召开月度货币政策会议，并宣布维持隔夜拆款利率于1.50%不变，符合市场的普遍预期。
澳洲联储预计，该国的贸易条件预计在未来一段时间内下降，但仍将保持在相对较高水准。多数国家的薪资增长保持低迷，核心通胀亦是如此。整体通胀率普遍低于年初水平，主要反映了稍早油价下跌的影响。
对于其他主要经济体，则不再有预期认为会有进一步的货币宽松。金融市场一直在有效运转，波动性依然较低。
澳洲经济第二季度扩张0.8%。澳洲联储预期澳洲经济在未来一年将逐步加快增长，近期数据反映的情况与之相一致。近几个月更多持续的迹象显示，非矿业企业投资在加速。这种趋势巩固的话，将是一个令人乐见的变化。
与此同时，实际薪资增长缓慢以及家庭负债高企，可能抑制家庭支出的增长。最近几个月，就业继续强劲增长，各个州都出现增长，就业参与率也上升。各种前瞻指标暗示未来就业将稳健增长，不过未来几年失业率预计只会逐渐下降。薪资继续保持低速增长。这种情况可能将持续一段时间，不过就业市场较为强劲应当逐步提振薪资增长。通胀也保持在低位，预计随着经济增强将逐渐上升。
汇价上涨料将导致经济活动及通胀回升速度低于当前的预估。住房债务增长速度一直超过家庭收入的缓慢增幅。当局采取监管措施以应对家庭债务较高并不断上升的相关风险。在信货状况有些收紧之后，近期投资者借贷增长也有所放缓。
全国各地的楼市表现有相当大的差异。一些市场的房价快速上涨，其他市场房价则持续下滑。悉尼房价曾明显攀升，目前已有更多迹象显示这种状况正有所缓解。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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