欧元区政治风险事件丛生，欧元后市上涨仍乏力
周一（2月27日），欧元兑美元在开盘后维持窄幅整理的走势，目前仍交投于1.06关口下方，而市场对于法国大选的担忧料将继续拖累欧元。
虽然当前民调显示，法国极右翼民族阵线主席玛琳娜·勒庞的支持率不及中间派候选人马克宏和中右翼候选人菲永，但投资者尚未认为她将出局，很多人仍担心勒庞一旦意外当选，可能会带领法国退出欧元区。
野村证券表示，如果法国事态升级，那么0.97是欧元兑美元的关键水平，若勒庞获选极有可能触及该水平。但若对勒庞获选的担忧缓解，预计欧元后市将表现良好，因欧洲央行很有可能在今年末削减QE。
而值得注意的是，美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)周五(2月24日)发布的报告显示，截止至2月16日至2月21日当周，投机者持有的欧元投机性净空头上升至近5周的高，表明投资者看空欧元的意愿升温。
另一方面，美元指数近期仍受到市场的追捧，目前仍交投于101.00关口上方，这也使得欧元有所承压，不过鉴于周二(2月28日)美国总统特朗普将在国会的发言伦以及周六(3月4日)美联储主席耶伦的讲话前，市场料将维持谨慎的态度。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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