金价失守1300美元关口
周五(11月4日)亚欧时段现货黄金震荡微跌，再次失守1300美元整数关口，目前交投于1296.83美元/盎司，市场都在关注稍晚出炉的美国10月份非农就业报告，市场预期较为乐观，令金价承压，不过避险情绪仍帮助金价暂时守在5日均线1292美元上方，非农数据或将检验该位置支撑的强度。
美元指数周五小幅反弹，因市场预期非农就业报告会为美联储12月加息提供支撑。目前市场预期失业率将下降为4.9%，新增非农就业人口为17.5万，均好于前值。
FTN的策略师沃格尔(JimVogel)认为，当前市场预期是12月加息，事实上只有当非农数据不超过12.5万的情况下，才能将市场隐含的12月加息概率打压至65%以下。
不过亦有分析师预估，10月肆虐美国东南部、引发大规模洪灾的飓风“马修”，对就业增长的影响甚微。不过这次灾害可能令10月的每周平均工时减少。
分析师认为，金价本周仍有望录得2%的涨幅，由于美国总统大选选情胶着，投资者对黄金的避险买需仍然强劲。
美国民主党总统候选人希拉里克林顿的支持者紧张地关注着民调情况，周四(11月3日)的民调结果显示，希拉里对共和党候选人特朗普握有微弱的领先优势。
全球最大黄金上市交易基金(ETF)–SPDR Gold Trust周四黄金持仓量较上一交易日增加0.47%至949.69吨。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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