聚焦美国大选首场辩论 警惕特朗普成黄金“终结者”
周一早盘，金价震荡承压于1340关口下方，盘中最低下跌至1335一线。今日重点留意美国大选首场电视辩论。
ABC/华盛顿邮报最新民调显示，美国总统大选陷入胶着状态，特朗普支持率已上升至44%，希拉里维持在46%不变。而特朗普昔日劲敌——得克萨斯州参议员克鲁兹宣布为特朗普背书。
如果希拉里的领先优势逐渐被特朗普追平，目前看这种可能性很大，那么金价可能将重新获得上涨动能。
不过，花旗认为，特朗普赢得大选的可能性正在上升，这或提升市场对美国利率走高的预期进而打压金价。
上周，美联储如预期继续维持利率不变，金价获得提振大幅上扬。不过，联储内部对加息看法分歧加剧，其中有三位官员支持应该加息，为2014年12月以来最多的一次，或暗示美联储离加息已经不远。
最新的COT报告显示，截止9月20日，黄金投机性多头减仓26490手，空头则继续小幅加仓3234手，做空力度很弱表明当前仍处于多头市场。
截止9月23日，最大的黄金ETF——SPDR持仓继续增加0.3吨，为951.22吨。此前周三、周四持仓大增，分别为5.64吨及6.53吨。
4小时图显示，金价震荡于1340-1335区间，短线暂无明显方向，等待技术指标给出进一步指引。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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