金价暂守1320美元整数关口，空头仍“虎视眈眈”
周五(8月26日)亚欧时段现货黄金维持在上日触及的四周低点上方，目前交投于1324.38美元/盎司，因美元指数小幅走弱，给金价提供些许支撑，不过整体交投极为清淡，市场都在等待耶伦的讲话，以找寻有关美国利率政策的线索，较多的分析师仍看空黄金后市。
耶伦将于北京时间22:00在杰克逊霍尔召开的央行官员会议上发表讲话。过去一周，几位美联储决策者以就业和通胀好转为由主张升息，金价日前一度失守1320美元整数关口，创一个月新低至1318.05美元/盎司。
GeofinComtrade的研究负责人HareeshV说，受围绕耶伦讲话的不确定性影响，金价在过去几日一直下跌。任何有关升息的信号都可能推动金价跌向每盎司1280美元水平，如果跌破主要支撑位1280美元，金价会跌至1200美元。
路透的一位大宗商品及能源技术市场分析师称，波浪模式和费波纳奇比率分析显示，现货黄金可能跌破1318美元支撑位，进一步跌向下一支撑位1308美元。
全球最大黄金上市交易基金(ETF)——SPDRGoldTrust的黄金持仓量周四减少0.19%(1.78吨)至956.59吨。
据美国联邦基金利率期货显示，目前美联储9月加息概率为32%(上周初为18%)，12月加息概率为57%(上周初为42%)。如果晚间美联储耶伦的讲话有助于加息预期升温，金价金价有较大概率会下探1300美元整数关口；反之，金价有望向上收复10日均线1337美元或者更高。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.