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金市陷入盘整 黄金涨势放缓

与上半年持续的大涨形成鲜明对比,目前的黄金市场持续震荡盘整。统计显示,过去一个多月来,国际金价累计仅涨2.2%,涨势明显趋缓。

受地缘政治带动的避险情绪升温、越来越多的经济体推动负利率政策以及美联储推迟加息的影响,上半年黄金市场的表现一度远超市场预期,半年的业绩与火热的大宗商品相比也不逊色,累计大涨超过25%,创下30余年来的最好半年表现。

然而进入下半年以来,随着避险情绪回落尤其是英国退出欧盟公投后的短暂平静期,加上市场对美联储的加息预期“飘忽不定”,金价再度展开持续的震荡盘整。数据显示,到18日收盘,纽约市场金价基本围绕每盎司1350美元上方展开震荡,逼近1360美元附近但仍未回到7月初创下的本轮反弹以来的新高。

此前世界黄金协会的报告也预计,黄金依然是资产配置的良好选择。“从全球人均黄金持有量来看,目前整体持有水平依然处于低位。”报告认为,随着全球经济的触底,将推动黄金的消费需求回升,同时经济的再金融化对黄金的配置也将迎来一轮助推。

数据显示,目前包括ETF以及投机者对黄金的看多都有所放缓。到18日,全球最大的黄金ETF基金SPDR持有的黄金回到957.78吨,与年内7月初创下的高点相比,减持幅度接近30吨,同时期货期权衍生品上,专业的投机者也逐渐获利了结,连续数周减持净多的头寸。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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