风险情绪上升 美元兑日元、欧元保持强势
随着美国经济数据表现靓丽、英国脱欧对美国经济影响逐渐减弱，市场风险情绪上升，美元兑日元、欧元周一(7月25日)保持强势。
上周五乐观的美国企业活动数据提升了美联储(FED)年内加息的前景，并支撑美元。
全球风险情绪高涨，美国股市本月连续刷新高，日元进一步承压，日元兑美元已较一个月前英国公投退欧后不久创下的三年高点下跌近7%。
欧元/美元下跌1%至1.0965，此前由于慕尼黑的枪击案，欧/美周五一度跌至一个月低点1.0955。
在日经指数稍早反弹的情况下，美元/日元早盘上涨0.3%至106.52；此前周五美/日一度跌至105.77。
日本央行(BOJ)将在7月28-29的货币决策会议上出炉进一步的货币宽松政策这一预期不断升温，这也令日元不断走软。
尽管日本央行已经否决了采取所谓的“直升机撒钱”这一刺激策略，但市场仍押注日本央行会采取其他的形式来实现宽松。
近期美国数据表现靓丽，紧缩预期稳步升温；尽管外界纷纷预期美联储在货币决策会议上会按兵不动，但投资者仍小心翼翼，欲从会后声明中寻找美联储近期加息的蛛丝马迹。
上周五联邦基金利率期货显示，美联储12月份加息的概率为48%。而几周前，这一概率不到20%。
美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)上周五公布的数据显示，7月19日当周美元净多仓增至104.2亿美元，前周为80.1亿美元。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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