“恐怖数据”不恐怖 美元多头乐开颜
周二公布的“恐怖数据”——美国5月零售销售强劲增长,因尽管汽油价格有所上涨,但美国人仍购买汽车等一系列商品。零售数据表明虽然新增就业岗位大幅减少,但经济增长势头仍在积聚动能。
美国商务部公布的数据显示,5月份零售销售增长0.5%,4月份1.3%的增幅为一年以来最大。之前接受彭博新闻调查的81位经济学家的预测中值为增长0.3%。不含汽车和汽油的零售额5月份增长0.3%。
路透评论称,美国5月零售销售月率上升0.5%升幅高于预期值0.3%,因美国人民购买了汽车和其它一系列产品,暗示该国经济获得增长势头,尽管该月美国非农就业人数增幅急剧下降。该数据表现良好,或许会使得经济学家上调对美国第二季度GDP的增速预估,目前市场普遍预计美国第二季度GDP增速约为2.5%(一季度增速为0.8%)。
与此同时,周二发布的另一项数据显示,随着美元走强和油价下跌的拖累消退,5月进口物价录得逾四年来最大月增幅,暗示通胀压力在稳步提升。
美国劳工部周二公布,美国5月出口物价较前月上升1.1%,预估为上升0.3%;美国5月进口物价较前月上升1.4%,预估为上升0.7%。
华尔街日报点评称,美国5月进口物价指数月率录得连续3个月上涨,为自2014年年初以来的最长连续增长周期,且增速创逾4年来最快,表明油价上涨有助于提振国内通胀水平,另外金属类工业制品也在一定程度上推高了物价水平。
随后,美国商务部公布,美国4月企业库存几无增长,因4月企业销售录得逾两年来最大增幅,导致库存累积速度缓慢,这将会拖累第二季经济成长。
数据显示,美国4月企业库存较上月增加0.1%,预估为增加0.2%。3 月被下修至增长0.3%,前值为增长0.4%。
今日的一连串数据公布之后,美元指数突破95关口,刷新日高至95.02。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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