英国脱欧担忧弥漫市场 避险日元全线大涨
周一(6月13日)避险货币日元全线上涨,兑欧元和英镑触及3年高点,兑美元亦涨至6周高位,因市场担忧英国可能会在10天后的公投中投票赞成脱离欧盟。
与此同时,美元走势全面艰困,因对本周美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)6月货币政策会议结果尚不确定。自6月初美国发布的5月就业报告远逊预期后,美元一直表现逊色,非农报告令美联储将在6月或7月升息的可能性大幅降低。
自去2015底以来,英镑一直被围绕英国可能脱离欧盟的担忧主导,其他主要货币也开始感受到这一担忧的冲击。
周一发布的ICM在线上和电话进行的两项民调结果显示,脱欧阵营扩大了领先优势,支持率达到53%,而支持留欧的民众仅占47%。
随着投资者抛售较高风险资产,欧元兑日元跌至2013年2月来最低,上一交易日纽约时段纽约尾盘,欧元兑日元下跌0.4%至119.90附近。
普跌的英镑兑日元也跌至3年来低位149.50,纽约时段尾盘下跌0.9%报151.04。英镑兑美元跌至2个月低点1.4115,尾盘下跌0.2%至1.4230附近。
上一交易日美元兑日元跌至6周低点105.75,尾盘下跌0.7%报106.21。
美元短缺和全球对日元的避险需求带动指标3个月美元/日元汇率互换跌至至少7年来低位102.25,为更广泛金融体系亮起红灯。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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