看空情绪有所缓解 金价跌幅收窄
现货黄金周二(3月15日)在美联储议息会议前夕延续昨日跌势,并创出两周新低,美市盘中最低下探至1225.70美元/盎司后跌势有所减缓。
从黄金近两日的走势来看,市场对美联储加息的预期有所提高。
今年以来,出于对全球经济的担忧,市场广泛预期美联储加息将放缓,黄金也因此在上周创出13个月新高。但是最近发布的美国经济数据较为强劲,提振了市场对美联储加息的预期。
对货币政策高度敏感的黄金,在上周四欧洲央行实行宽松政策之后大幅反弹至13月高位后又大幅下挫。
美联储进一步加息将提高黄金的持有成本。黄金短期内的由强转弱既是对多头是一种考验,也是诱惑买盘逢低建仓的机会。
周二美元指数小幅上涨,延续前两日的涨势。美股收涨,三大股指均微幅上涨。原油持续下跌,布油指数一度下跌2.53%。
日内公布的数据不容乐观,美国1月商业库存月率增加 今年GDP增速面临下行风险;美国3月NAHB房屋市场指数环比持平 但低于预估;美国2月份批发价格走低,受到燃料成本下降的拖累。
燃料价格一直以来都导致通胀率低于美联储的目标。但尽管如此,市场对美联储偏鹰派转向的预期比较高,黄金上行动能已经消退,下一步将试探1211美元/盎司的低位。
黄金能否再度迎来惊天大逆转,仍要看美联储的指引。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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