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油价反弹动能减弱 美元持稳

关键词:油价反弹动能减弱 美元持稳

周三(12月30日)亚太时段,美元兑一篮子货币持稳,因此前美债收益率上升。与此同时,加元和澳元回吐涨幅,因原油价格反弹势头减弱。

目前美元指数位于98.20附近,距上一交易日触及的一周高点98.40不远,美元指数今年累计涨幅可能达到11%。

与此同时,欧元兑美元几乎持平于1.0930一线,隔夜下跌0.4%。5年期公债标售结果疲弱,加之油价反弹,助推上一交易日美国公债收益率走高,对美元构成利好。

由于北半球部分地区的寒冷天气鼓励买盘,上一交易日油价也跳升。但日内美国原油期货回吐了上一交易日部分涨幅,向7年低点回落,这是受到供应充裕担忧,以及寒冷天气不会持久的天气预报拖累。

美元兑欧元、日元等货币2016年整体料上涨,因市场预计美国货币政策将进一步与欧元区和日本产生背离。继本月启动近10年来的首次升息之后,美联储(Fed)2016年势必会进一步升息。

但全球暖冬前景令原油价格震荡走势加剧,给美元近期前景蒙上阴影。

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