美元遭遇“圣诞劫”
关键词:美元走势
进入“圣诞周”以来,美元走势可谓“一败涂地”,犹如遭遇“圣诞劫”。事实上,从过去十年的表现来看,每年圣诞至新年假期这段时间,美元走势基本难以令人感到乐观。与此形成鲜明对比,本周黄金走势相当强劲,这也似乎应验了金价在年底常会爆发大行情的说法。
周四(12月24日)ICE美元指数下跌0.4%,报97.98,过去一周以来下跌1.3%,为3周以来表现最差的一周。难见多数国际大行预测的2016年美元将走强的迹象。
此外,ICE美元指数本月迄今已累计下跌2.2%,可能创4月以来最大月跌幅。美元兑日元下跌2.3%,兑欧元下跌近4%。
衡量美元兑十大主要对手货币表现的彭博美元即期汇率指数连续五天下跌,为4月以来最长连跌。
上周美联储(FED)将联邦基金基准利率上调25个基点,至0.25-0.5%,为近10年来首次。分析师称,因交易商削减美元多头头寸,加息后美元兑主要货币走软。
随着美联储加息、其他央行加大刺激政策力度,投资者此前一直在押注美元兑其他货币升值,包括欧元、日元、英镑和加元。
除了年底头寸调整之外,油价大幅反弹也令美元面临下行压力。
上周四成交远低于日均水平,伦敦和纽约各银行交易室的人力稀少。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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