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美国第四季增长或降至1.3%

关键词:美国第四季增长或降至1.3%

美国亚特兰大联储GDPNow预测模型周三(12月23日)显示,美国经济今年第四季增长环比年率可能降至1.3%,不及12月16日预期的增长1.9%,因为近期数据暗示消费者支出和住房投资增长趋疲。

美国本周公布的一系列数据显示,美国11月新屋销售环比增长,但低于预期,暗示美国房地产市场或许失去了一些动能;美国11月成屋签约销售月率环比减少10.5%,降幅远超预期,录得5年来的最大跌幅,暗示当前房地产市场正逐渐丧失复苏动能。

亚特兰大联储表示,第四季住房投资可能增加0.9%,远低于稍早预估的增长8.0%。

GDPNow模型预计第四季消费者支出增长2.1%,亦低于前次预估的增长2.6%。据显示美国11月消费者支出上升,家庭在购物季伊始放松钱袋,给第四季美国经济增长前景带来提振。

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