美联储大鸽派奏响最强音
关键词：美联储大鸽派奏响最强音
明尼阿波利斯联储主席柯薛拉柯塔周四(10月8日)指出，美联储应下调近零利率，应等到2017年再加息。这一表态较任何其他FOMC委员都更为鸽派。
柯薛柯拉塔表示，当前的低通胀为美联储复苏就业市场提供了一“巨大机会”。
柯薛拉柯塔指出：“为了更好的完全国会的使命，(美联储政策制定)委员会应考虑降低而不是提高联邦基金利率目标区间。”
美联储于2008年12月将利率降至近零水平，之后一直维持这一利率水平不变，以刺激开支，避免美国经济陷入一轮日益上升的通货紧缩。
美联储还买入了数万亿美元的长期债券以进一步压低借贷成本，并作出了一系列将在长期内维持低利率的承诺。
不过，目前多数美联储政策制定者希望摆脱这一不寻常的货币政策。去年，美联储停止了购买长期债券，当前随着失业率降至5.1%，耶伦表示，预计将于年内加息。
耶伦表示，9月会议上联储官员并未像欧洲一些国家一样认真考虑降息的可能性。
不过，对柯薛拉柯塔而言，逾3年以来通胀一直在2%目标之下停滞不前，这意味着美联储有“免费午餐”以保持宽松政策和刺激就业。
柯薛拉柯塔称，缺乏需求是美国经济面临的最大问题 ；中国的经济数据较预期‘更令人失望’，为谨慎考虑升息提供了又一个理由；FED应以促进主要年龄就业人口占人口比率自目前的77%升至80%为目标；如通胀压力增长，美联储加息应更迅猛。
此外，柯薛拉柯塔还称，一旦开始加息，应以每年加息2%的步伐加息；由于货币政策工具有限，央行在缓解冲击方面有困难。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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