澳联储维持利率2%不变
关键词：澳联储维持利率2%不变
10月06日北京时间11:30，澳联储维持现金利率在2%不变，符合预期。澳元兑美元汇价在利率决议公布后短线上扬，一度升至0.7115两周新高。
澳联储随后发表利率政策声明表示，需要维持宽松的货币政策，经济和金融环境将表明政策立场，委员会认为维持现金利率不变是适宜的。
对于澳元汇率，澳联储成是大宗商品价格下跌所导致；预计未来1-2年的通胀率与通胀目标将相吻合。
澳洲经济增速低于更长周期的均值水平。但是，过去一年的就业增长比较强劲，而且失业率稳定。
此前，澳新银行(ANZ)分析称，大宗商品暴跌加上澳联储可能还会降息，预计澳元/美元到2016年中或跌至0.6400水平。
虽然本次澳洲联储没有降息，澳新银行分析师Warren Hogan和Justin Fabo认为澳大利亚经济或将迫使澳联储(RBA)于明年两度降息，这是澳元面临的一大风险。
两位分析师表示，澳大利亚未两年经济增长料不足以消化经济中的闲置产能，同时澳大利亚在亚洲的主要贸易伙伴面临经济下行风险。
他们预计，澳联储或将于明年2月和5月两度降息，使基准利率降至1.5%。
另外，加拿大皇家银行也将澳联储降息预期推迟到2016年第一季度。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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