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官员重申呼吁今年12月加息

关键词:官员重申呼吁今年12月加息

2015年FOMC票委、旧金山联储主席威廉姆斯(John Williams)在周四(10月1日)发表讲话时表示,重申呼吁美联储在今年晚些时候加息。

威廉姆斯表示,经济扩张进入第七年,且动能强劲。消费者支出为经济增长提供动力。预计随经济好转就业增长会放缓,未来每月料需要新增至多10万个就业岗位。美国裁员的水平目前非常低。威廉姆斯同时指出,毫无疑问全球经济的发展状况是美联储决定暂缓加息的原因之一。即便处在充满不确定的环境中,美联储仍需要采取必要的行动来达成目标。

威廉姆斯称,美联储加息时应该没有人会感到意外,不担心届时金融市场反应剧烈。他强调,海外国家的货币刺激措施在帮助推高美元。威廉姆斯认为,美联储开始加息后,将在某一时点让资产负债表有序地萎缩。如果经济前景改变,即便加息后也是有理由降息的。

威廉姆斯同时表示,美国月度就业增速维持在10万-15万以上是合适的。预计美国失业率2016年将下滑至4.5%-4.75%的区间,2017年将升至5%。不希望经济长时间承受过高的压力。

威廉姆斯指出,12月流动性问题不会影响首次加息时机。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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