日元正在告别贬值时代
关键词:日元正在告别贬值时代
伴随着美联储推迟加息和全球经济的不确定性(上升),日元可能会小幅走强。日元作为避险货币的一面将帮助它吸引资金前来。日元正在告别贬值时代,日元汇率可能走强至115兑1美元。
隔夜美联储推迟加息后,日元上涨0.5%,周五进一步回升至119.45附近,较今年6月创下的十三年新低125.86已显著反弹。
自日本首相安倍晋三2012年末上台并承诺将日本经济拉出通缩漩涡以来,日元已经贬值近30%。伴随着美联储展现出无意在市场颠簸、国际风险上升和国内通胀回升缓慢之际收紧史无前例的宽松政策,日元本月有望连续第二周收涨。
尽管二季度日本经济再次陷入萎缩,日本央行本周仍然坚持了去年10月以来按兵不动的策略,并寄希望于经济的重新增长来重振日本通胀。
“日元先生”神原英资周五在东京接受采访时表示,“日元正在开始告别廉价的时代,我认为日元会逐渐朝着115-120的区间移动,当美联储加息时,日本央行可能会开始寻求退出刺激政策。”
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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