强劲美元使金价止损被触发 重回1180下方
关键词:金价暴跌
周一(12月22日)受到美元指数大涨且节前清淡交易中止损单被触发的影响,金价大跌近2%,重1180美元/盎司下方,而银价则跌去了近3%。周二亚市开后,金价在1175美元/盎司附近波动。
周一美股继续上涨,S&P500指数收复12月跌幅,或可再创纪录高点,美元指数也强劲走高,突破2009年3月高位,刷新2006年4月以来高点89.80。
交易员们称,在周二到期前,1月最大的未平仓合约为1200美元/盎司。
一名美国的交易员说:“金价是缓慢的跌向了止损点,出现了一些延迟。”他认为,被触发的止损订单主要在1192美元/盎司附近。
沙特坚持不减产,伊拉克称2015年将增加产量,原油周一延续跌势,NYMEX原油期货周一收盘跌1.87美元,跌幅3.27%,报55.26美元/桶。
美国12月成屋销售月底远不及预期,下跌6.1%,前值增长1.5%,预期下跌1.1%。
本周由于节日的关系,交易时间减少,市场预计金价将在一定波动范围内,从目前来看,今年金价可能会有约2%的跌幅。
实物需求方面,中国市场的金价升水在周一一度达到3美元/盎司,这表明了比较强劲的需求,不过日内升水此后回落到1美元/盎司左右。
瑞士海关上周四公布数据显示,今年11月瑞士共出口232.3吨黄金,较10月200.8吨增长。其中,34.7吨黄金出口至中国大陆(10月为42.5吨),34.2吨出口至中国香港(10月25.7吨),77吨出口至印度(10月75.1吨)。瑞银(UBS)称,瑞士今年黄金出口升至纪录高位,从英国流出的黄金量表明瑞士精炼厂正在满负荷工作以满足亚洲的需求。
SPDR黄金ETF在上周流入了约1.19吨,周一持有量维持在了724.55吨。
荷兰银行(ABN Amro)的分析师Georgette Boele表示:“我仍然对2015年的金价看空,如果一方面市场对风险胃口较大,一方面美元走高且可能升息,那么金价是不可能上升的。”
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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