美联储利率决议关注要点
关键字：美联储利率决议关注要点
1、9月份加息的信号：接受彭博调查的经济学家认为本周加息的几率几乎为零，不过投资者们将逐字逐句地研读政策声明，希望字里行间从中找到决策人士准备在9月份采取行动的任何暗示。调查显示，9月份加息的几率为50%。
2、意见分歧：摩根大通驻纽约的首席美国经济学家Michael Feroli表示，如果里士满联储行长Jeffrey Lacker投票支持加息，则将表明FOMC与会人士中有更多人希望将利率从零水平上调。
3、就业市场：Decision Economics Inc.驻纽约的首席执行官Allen Sinai表示，FOMC对就业市场的看法将是好转但还不够好，尽管5.3%的失业率已经接近与会人士认为正常的水平。
4、通胀和大宗商品：Stone & McCarthyResearch Associates在新泽西州普林斯顿的分析师Terry Sheehan认为，经过石油和其它大宗商品近期的下跌之后，FOMC可能会更重视不含食品和能源的通胀率。
5、风险平衡：巴尔的摩的约翰霍普金斯大学教授、曾在美联储货币事务部门担任经济学家的JonathanWright表示，如果会议声明要传达FOMC更接近于加息，一个办法是调整在风险平衡方面的措辞。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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