希腊公投否决后面临的四种情况
关键字：希腊公投否决后面临的四种情况
在希腊接受救助方案的公投以多数否决票通过后，德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)陈述了四种关键情况。
1.放宽援助条件：最有可能的情况是，欧元区各国为希腊提供更疲软的援助协议。
2.违约但留在欧元区：几率较小的情况是，希腊违约但留在欧元区，因欧元区各国对希腊银行进行直接重组，希腊政府仅运用国内资源满足财政需求。
3.达成新协议：这种情况是，关闭银行系统带来逐渐升高的经济及政治成本导致Syriza党政府为新的民族团结新政府取代，且与国际金主达成新的协议。
4.希腊退欧：希腊退欧和成新协议是最有可能的情况，二者几率相当。也就是说，希腊公投遭到否决加大了希腊退欧的可能。即使如此，前三种情况出现的几率仍大于希腊退欧。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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