金市背后几大不利因素将令金价处于1100-1200中部
关键字:金市背后几大不利因素将令金价处于1100-1200中部
对于近期黄金市场的疲软表现,背后有几大因素对黄金市场形成了打压。
1、首先,危机似乎变成了常态,黄金市场的反应越来越平淡。
并且即使在投资者们寻求避险保值资产时,黄金也不再是首选,更多投资者倾向于美国国债。即使在希腊危机中实物黄金需求出现了大幅增长,也不足以抵消此前黄金市场的抛售。
并且从黄金ETF来说,黄金投资需求也处在比较低迷的状态。
Bell Curve Trading的市场策略主管Bill Strazzullo认为金价下行将跌至1150美元/盎司。
2、美元表现强劲是黄金市场面临的一大压力。
事实上,除了美联储在紧缩,全球各国央行都在施行宽松政策,包括欧洲央行、日本央行等等,这使得美元上行,对黄金施压。
3、通胀毫无起色,使得黄金对冲通胀的功能难以显现。
现在的黄金和2007年至2008年的股市相似,金价从2008年10月802上涨到2011年8月的1916美元/盎司,同期美元指数下降了14%。
黄金爱好者们曾经因为担心恶性通胀而青睐黄金,但恶性通胀并没有发生。
另外,在通胀毫无起色的情况下,目前市场担忧的是通缩。
4、中国的实物需求有减弱的迹象,在股市上行的情况下,投资者们转向了股市,本年一季度中国的黄金需求同比下降了7%。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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