联储官员称明年下半年才该加息
关键字:联储官员称明年下半年才该加息
美国明尼阿波利斯联储主席柯薛拉柯塔(Narayana Kocherlakota)周二(4月7日)在Bismarck-Mandan商会的演讲中表示,美联储必须要对加息极有耐心,今年加息是个错误,我认为2016年下半年开始加息是适合的。
柯薛拉柯塔的观点显然和联储内部的一些官员观点相悖。部分立场较为强硬的美联储决策者认为最早应于6月升息,他们警告称如果等待过久,可能迫使美联储大幅升息,以抑制通胀可能出现的急升。
但柯薛拉柯塔同时指出,有鉴于就业率与通胀过低的前景,美联储在降低货币宽松水平上,可较晚及缓慢实施。预计美国经济将至少需要劳动市场像去年一样再三年的改善,才能达到金融危机前的正常水平。
柯薛拉柯塔认为,美联储将花费数年时间来实现其物价和失业率的目标,对于美国经济的预期也并没有大部分人那么乐观,在2017年末联邦基金利率升值约2%的水平才是合理的。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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