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官员意见不一 金银略有反弹

纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场11月黄金期价1010日收于每盎司1223.3美元,比前一交易日下跌了0.6美元,跌幅为0.05%。白银期货上涨0.23%,报每盎司17.38美元。

中国经济仍存下行风险:国际货币基金组织在亚太地区经济展望更新报告中指出,亚太地区的经济增长总体上保持稳定,但是中国的下行风险仍然值得担忧,其中特别提及,中国房地产市场比预期更加强烈的衰退。由于国际货币基金组织表示,中国房地产市场的衰退现象,已经对中国经济构成一定的下行风险,而中国作为全球黄金消费大国之一,若经济出现下行,必然会对中国的黄金购买力构成打压,因此对金价产生利空影响。

部分联储官员认为应早加息:堪萨斯联储主席乔治认为,美国经济复苏不再是起伏不定,目前的经济状况已经大幅改善,他希望美联储尽早加息。而费城联储主席普罗索也认为,长时间的维持货币政策中的较低基准利率,将对美国通胀回归到正常值构成严重风险,而且也会为全球带来金融动荡风险。虽然美联储在上周发布的会议纪要中,对于加息的立场较为温和,但美联储内部也有持相左意见的鹰派官员,这导致市场对美联储延迟加息的预期略有降温,因此美元受到一定程度的提振,从而限制了金价的涨幅。


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