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避险因素尚存 黄金窄幅震荡

截止至本日北京时间14:30,国际现货黄金价格为1213.41美元/盎司,最高价为1215.13美元,最低价为1208.07美元,上涨了4.28美元,涨幅为0.35%。

乌军达成停火协议:乌克兰国家安全和防御委员会周二发布声明称,同意与反叛军达成“静默政权”协议。从当地时间下午6点开始,在反恐行动区域内的所有军事行动和炮击都将暂停,而据具体数据显示,自开展反恐行动以来乌政府军累计伤亡人员已超过4500人。尽管乌克兰对外宣称与恐怖分子达成协议,但目前乌克兰东部局势依然不稳定,由于双方缺乏互信,武装冲突时有发生,一旦局势恶化,将有效提升市场避险情绪,使资金流向金市。

黄金面临诸多挑战:美银美林周三在报告中称,目前黄金拥有最具有挑战性的基本面,如美国利率上扬、美股高位企稳和美元持续走强都将令金价承压,此外今年中国实物金需求同比也出现下滑,美银美林预计2015年某个时段金价可能触及1100美元/盎司。从长远来看,全球经济增速放缓可能有效抑制金价的暴跌,同时,尽管美国货币政策走向正常化,但经济强度还不足以推升通胀,这将刺激市场投资者对经济增速放缓和央行维持低利率的预期,最终对金价提供支撑。


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