金价续涨 长线或承压
截止至北京时间15:00,国际现货黄金价格为1318.46美元,最高价1318.20美元,最低价1307.30,波幅为10.9美元。
欧元区QE政策或将启动:据德国有媒体早些时候报道,欧洲央行已制定一个量化宽松计划的模型,该模型涉及在一年时间内购买1万亿欧元证券。模型显示,通过1万亿欧元债券的购买,欧元区通胀将会上行0.2-0.8个百分点。欧洲央行(ECB)行长德拉基在4月欧银利率决议之后曾说:“欧央行今天讨论了QE,这是一个可能的政策工具,将尽一切努力结束低通胀,以免对经济拖累时间过长。”同时本月30日欧盟统计局将发布4月通胀数据,本次通胀数据将为欧央行未来是否实施QE政策,若存在通缩风险,则欧元区将在5月的议息会议上提出降息或量化宽松货币举措,届时欧元贬值将利好美元,黄金将受压。
道明证券:黄金交易低吸买盘上涨动力弱 :道明证劵技术分析表示金价调整回落50%后吸引投资者趁低吸纳,但是上涨动力仍然疲弱。3月中黄金自1,392美元开始回落,跌至低于2014年涨幅中的50%回撤支持位后稳定下来,随即吸引投资者趁低买盘。从技术层面来看,黄金在短期内仍然存在不利因素。因金价每日走势的上涨动力疲弱,市场将会倾向区间交易,而不是上涨至更高水平。金价短时期内受到国际乌俄事件动荡、美联储会议纪要结果影响得以回升,但随全球经济逐步回暖,以及经济大国在货币政策上表现较高的前瞻和预见性,估计未来金价上行空间不大。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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