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非农大出意料 金价趁势上扬

截至北京时间20144711:00,伦敦金报价1303.2美元/盎司,最高价为1304.8美元,最低价为1301.0美元,下跌0.40美元,跌幅为0.03%

 

我们先来看一下周末影响黄金走势的最新消息

非农逊于预期  市场大跌眼镜

美国劳工部(DOL)周五公布的数据显示,美国3月非农就业人数增加19.2万人,预期增加20万人,前值为增加17.5万人。市场对该数据的情绪复杂。一方面,该数据和此前几个月相比的确意味着劳动力市场在恢复,但恢复的速度恐怕还跟不上市场期望。另一方面,缺乏足够改善力度的劳动力市场有可能延缓美联储加息节奏。金价短期内有望得到提振。

 

市场对美国就业市场复苏情况预期过度乐观,而实际上,美国的失业问题仍然没有太大的改善。

美国失业率仍然偏高

周五公布的美国3月份失业率录得6.7%,预期为6.6%,明显差于市场预期。虽然就业数据是美联储制定政策的重要参考指标,但失业率从来就并非唯一标尺。美联储主席耶伦本周发表讲话时说,美国经济和就业复苏与健康状况尚有很大差距。因此,预计短期内美国的宽松货币政策将不会产生根本改变,而黄金价格短期内也难有大幅下跌。


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