制造业好转 美国或提前加息
纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场5月黄金期价4月1日收于每盎司1279.3美元，比前一交易日下跌9.80美元，跌幅为0.76%。白银期货下跌0.35%，报每盎司19.74美元。
美国3月制造业指数回升：美国3月制造业活动升温，产出创衰退结束后的最大增幅，暗示经济在经历寒冬考验后站稳了脚跟。尽管这低于分析师预估的54.0，但3月为连续第二个月上升。50为该指数的荣枯分水岭。制造业在美国经济中占比约为12%。由于美国的经济出现持续复苏的迹象，投资者更加愿意把资金投放到股票，期货等风险品种当中，而黄金等避险品种则受到投资者的抛弃，导致价格持续出现下跌。
美联储提前加息预期升温：随着克里米亚事件逐渐明朗化，投资者继续认为乌克兰冲突升级的可能性不大，同时当前市场普遍预期美国3月非农数据将优于预期，令美联储(Fed)提早退出量化宽松(QE)及升息的预期升温。若联储的加息政策正式实施，持续低迷数年的美元将会重新回到上升趋势当中，由于美元和黄金的走势是负相关关系，黄金将会在美元走强的同时承压下跌。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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