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避险需求降 黄金窄幅震荡

截止至北京时间2014年3月19日11:00,伦敦金报价1358美元/盎司,高价为1359.69美元,低价为1351.6美元,波幅为5.09美元。

俄罗斯暂无军事冲突危机 利空黄金市场:普京在今天欧洲时段表示克里米亚过去是,现在也是俄罗斯不可分割的领土,克里米亚公投符合国际标准,俄罗斯将不会进一步分裂乌克兰。俄罗斯认为西方用制裁吓唬俄罗斯的尝试十分激进,并将给予回敬。俄罗斯永远不会主动挑衅东方与西方。普京在演讲后与克里米亚领导人正式签署文件,克里米亚将正式加入俄罗斯。普京的讲话避免了短期发动战争的忧虑,如此一来,几乎可以确信不会有进一步军事冲突发生的危险,而这样具避险功能的黄金市场来说,是个利空消息。

 

瑞银:黄金避险需求下降 前景悲观;瑞银全球大宗商品分析师Daniel Morgan表示,2014年全球经济稳定增长及低通胀的基本面不会支持黄金有所表现。随着经济和金融市场恢复正常,对避险资产的需求将继续下降。虽然短期内可能会出现一些价格波动和市场人气的变化,但整体而言,金价前景悲观。瑞银将对2014年黄金平均价格的预期从之前的1200美元/盎司上调至1300美元/盎司。 虽然上调幅度较大,但仅仅反映了近期价格和人气的快速上涨。近期金价的上涨将是短期性的,2014年下半年金价可能进一步下跌。但瑞银对2015年的金价预测仍维持在1200美元/盎司。


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