金价震荡上行 不可过度看涨
截止至北京时间2014年2月26日15:00，伦敦金报价1344美元/盎司，高价为1345.34美元，低价为1337.62美元，波幅为7.72美元。
2010年1月至2013年12月金价50%的时间遭人为操纵：2010年1月至2013年12月期间全球金价可能有50%的时间是遭到人为操纵。GoldMoney研究部主管Alasdair Macleod指出，当银行在定价的时候、他们已事先知道客户的下单内容、因此有可能藉此从中获利。Fideres分析师Alberto Thomas指出，退休基金、避险基金、商品交易顾问、期货交易商可能因而蒙受损失，很多人可能准备提告。英国金融时报去年底曾报导，德国金融监管机构BaFin正就金价、银价可能遭到操作乙事展开调查、要求德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)提供相关文件。消息人士透露，过去几个月以来BaFin已多次赴德银进行实地查验、拷问相关人员。参与金价制定的银行包括德银、巴克莱、加拿大丰业银行、汇丰(HSBC)以及法国兴业银行；参与银价订定的银行包括德银、加拿大丰业银行、汇丰。
标准银行：投资者不可过度看涨黄金；标准银行预计今年年底美国债券收益率将走高，美国10年期政府债券收益率将涨至3.75%，这将抑制金价上行。与此同时，在通胀压力不高的情况下，名义利率的走强也将带动实际利率上涨，除非美国经济前景出现很大的变化，不然收益率终将走高，从而推动黄金ETF持仓加速外流。因此，标准银行分析师Walter de Wet强调，“当前投资者不可过度看涨黄金，近期金价的上涨更多是受到空头回补和短期投机性买盘的带动。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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