金价今年将上涨 波动较大
截止至北京时间2014年2月25日15:00,伦敦金报价1327美元/盎司,高价为1338.46美元,低价为1332.28美元,波幅为6.18美元。
巴克莱:中国黄金消费今年增速将放缓;巴克莱报告指出,去年金饰加工以及销售的增长令企业提高了黄金的库存量,这将会使得今年的消费增长放缓;但金饰的需求仍将保持相当强劲的增长力道,根据世界黄金协会的一项调查,有44%的受访者表示今年将会提高金饰的消费支出。香港金银业贸易场理事长张德熙预估,今年下半年金价或升至1,500美元以上,令消费需求放缓,但全年仍将有两位数增幅。张德熙也认为大陆央行未来1-2年还会逐步吸纳黄金储备,因设立离岸人民币中心后,大陆需要加大黄金储备支持人民币国际化,至少要有5,000吨以上的黄金储备才算合理水平。
丹麦盛宝银行:金价虽反弹 但仍面临下行风险:丹麦盛宝银行最新研报认为虽然今年以来金价出现了反弹迹象,但仍面临着诸多的下行风险,金价距离实现真正意义上的复苏仍任重道远。去年,金价终结了此前12年连涨势头,年度跌幅达28%,与2011年9月时创下的高位相比,跌幅更高达40%,创下了近30年来的最大跌幅。今年以来,金价反弹势头明显。2月19日,纽约商品交易所交投最为活跃的4月份期金价格报收于1320.4美元/盎司,与年初时相比,纽约商品交易所主力合约期金价格涨幅已超过9%。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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