金价今年将上涨 波动较大
截止至北京时间2014年2月24日15:00，伦敦金报价1327美元/盎司，高价为1328.41美元，低价为1318.66美元，波幅为9.75美元。
Dundee Capital Markets：金价今年将有更大波动；Dundee Capital Markets的Martin Murenbeeld认为金价会在今年有更大波动，会在1075到1550美元/盎司间波动。甚至有分析认为金价可能会跌至950美元/盎司。“所有发达国家的央行都希望能刺激通胀，有可能在2014年黄金市场会转变，最终比年初有更好的结果。”Murenbeeld说，但他补充说，“美元很可能会继续在今年成为黄金的逆风。”汤普森路透的金属研究和预测主管Rhona O’Connell称，由于美联储的缩减，该机构已经对黄金失去了兴趣。尽管很多专业投资者逃离了黄金市场，但对实体金币的投资却有所增加。世界黄金协会(WGC)数据显示，2013年金币需求增长了63%。
多名分析师预估金价今年将会上涨：彭博调查的9名分析师对2014年第四季度金价预期平均值为1165美元/盎司。这其中历史预计最为准确的则预计金价会落至1050美元/盎司。标准银行东京分行经理Yuichi Ikemizu表示，“1330上方的高点将保持一段时间，除了美元走势外，黄金不存在明显的利多因素。金价走高，亚洲的购买力会受到影响，人们在金价位于1300下方时买入了很多黄金。瑞银(UBS)的贵金属策略师Edel Tully认为金价正从“彻底看跌”转变到“中性/略看多”，认为如果金价跌回1280美元/盎司，则是一个买入机会。预计金价会在三个月内涨至1350美元/盎司，因为市场情绪的改善使得投资者们增持。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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