金价波幅增大 涨势或趋缓
截止至北京时间2014年2月18日15:00,伦敦金报价1318.5美元/盎司,高价为1332.04美元,低价为1316.13美元,波幅为15.91美元。
两名分析师预测今年金价空头:彭博社报导,尽管金价呈现1983年以来最强劲开年走势,但两名最精确金价预测专家仍维持对今年空头看法。期金价格今年截至2月14日累涨9.7%,自去年的30年最大年线跌幅弹升,并触及3个月高点。彭博社过去两年追踪评列最精准预测者─法国兴业银行(Societe Generale SA)驻伦敦首席金属研究员巴尔(Robin Bhar)指出,「我认为这只是修正。」「我们仍将看空金价。」他估计第4季均价为每盎司1050美元。巴克莱集团(Barclays Plc)纽约分析师古柏(Suki Cooper)在14日客户建议中指出,在投资人信心未见「更实质转变」下,金价涨势将「动能耗尽」。
金价能否继续上涨 看中国实物黄金买气:金价涨势能否持续的关键因素之一,是中国的实体黄金买气是否会因金价上涨而受影响。他预期近期内金价到了 1350 美元左右水平,要小心涨势是否会消退,因为中国需求很可能在此时降温。尽管如此,分析师仍预期金价在年底会攻上 1450 美元水平。一方面他认为,中国仍将会是全球实体黄金需求的主要推手,且将连续第二年称霸全球最大黄金消费国,预料长期以来将弥补黄金 ETF 抛售的金量。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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